"As delinquency rates rise, red flags are flying over some aggressive finance outfits," as stated by Mara Der Hovanesian, of BusinessWeek.

"For months doomsayers have been predicting that the slowing housing market, along with rising interest rates, would lead to mortgage foreclosures and bank losses. That hasn't happened yet, but delinquency rates have started to rise. What's worse, instead of cutting back on the exotic mortgages they've leaned on throughout the boom, many lenders are charging ahead on such high-risk loans full tilt. "Mortgage lending standards show little sign of tightening," says Frederick Cannon, bank analyst with New York's Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc. investment bank. "[Lenders] should have dialed back the aggressive loans by now."

"The much-feared troubles may finally be arriving. Delinquency rates jumped more than 7%, to 4.7% in the fourth quarter of 2005, from the year before, according to the Mortgage Bankers Assn. Home buyers are becoming over-extended. In California, where seven of the 10 most expensive U.S. cities are located, one in five buyers already spends more than half of pretax household income on housing -- much more than the 30% recommended by the Housing & Urban Development Dept."

"Despite the lenders' precautions, some borrowers will receive a rude shock starting this year. Repayment terms on about $1.3 trillion of adjustable-rate loans will increase in 2006 and 2007, forcing some borrowers to pay up to 150% more per month. "In the hands of an unsophisticated borrower, [these loans are] dangerous," says Robert W. Visini, vice-president for marketing at San Francisco mortgage tracker LoanPerformance (FAF).

"About 10% of U.S. households now face a great risk of running into credit problems, according to research done by Meredith Whitney, senior financial institutions analyst for CIBC World Markets Inc. (BCM ). If borrowers start to default on their loans, their lenders could themselves face mounting problems."

"Real estate rates at highest level in nearly 4 years," according to Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac, as reported by Inman News.

"Mortgage rates this week climbed for the fourth straight week to highs not seen since the summer of 2002, according to surveys conducted by Freddie Mac and Bankrate.com."

"In Freddie Mac's survey, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to an average 6.53 percent for the week ended today, with an average 0.6 point, up from last week's average of 6.49 percent. The 30-year fixed has not been higher since the week ending July 12, 2002, when it averaged 6.54 percent.

Foreclosures Soar 63 Percent over Last Year
RISMEDIA, April 19, 2006—RealtyTrac(TM) (www.realtytrac.com), the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its March 2006 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows 101,597 properties nationwide entered some stage of foreclosure in March, a 13 percent decrease from the previous month but a 63 percent increase from March 2005.

Labels: Bay Area Real Estate, Foreclosure, Freddie Mac, Housing Market, Mortgage Lenders, Real Estate Cycles, RealtyTrac